Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.003221 0.003377 0.003537 0.003712 0.003899 0.004093 0.004310
2025-04-06 0.002949 0.003182 0.003430 0.003713 0.004029 0.004372 0.004774
2025-04-13 0.002695 0.002961 0.003251 0.003592 0.003984 0.004422 0.004953
2025-04-20 0.002571 0.002868 0.003199 0.003597 0.004065 0.004603 0.005274
2025-04-27 0.002499 0.002826 0.003196 0.003650 0.004197 0.004841 0.005665
2025-05-04 0.002389 0.002731 0.003124 0.003614 0.004215 0.004937 0.005884
2025-05-11 0.002300 0.002654 0.003068 0.003591 0.004244 0.005044 0.006116
2025-05-18 0.002219 0.002583 0.003013 0.003566 0.004266 0.005138 0.006331
2025-05-25 0.002186 0.002568 0.003025 0.003621 0.004389 0.005363 0.006725
2025-06-01 0.002124 0.002515 0.002987 0.003610 0.004424 0.005474 0.006969
2025-06-08 0.002060 0.002455 0.002938 0.003581 0.004433 0.005549 0.007166
2025-06-15 0.001987 0.002383 0.002870 0.003525 0.004403 0.005568 0.007283
2025-06-22 0.001923 0.002319 0.002811 0.003480 0.004387 0.005606 0.007430
2025-06-29 0.001881 0.002284 0.002788 0.003481 0.004432 0.005730 0.007707
2025-07-06 0.001796 0.002189 0.002685 0.003371 0.004320 0.005628 0.007644
2025-07-13 0.001762 0.002161 0.002667 0.003375 0.004365 0.005749 0.007921
2025-07-20 0.001749 0.002158 0.002683 0.003424 0.004475 0.005967 0.008353
2025-07-27 0.001704 0.002112 0.002640 0.003390 0.004466 0.006009 0.008514
2025-08-03 0.001666 0.002075 0.002607 0.003370 0.004473 0.006076 0.008716
2025-08-10 0.001629 0.002038 0.002573 0.003346 0.004475 0.006133 0.008905
2025-08-17 0.001621 0.002039 0.002591 0.003397 0.004588 0.006363 0.009387
2025-08-24 0.001592 0.002011 0.002568 0.003387 0.004608 0.006450 0.009636
2025-08-31 0.001558 0.001976 0.002534 0.003360 0.004603 0.006498 0.009819